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Why Diets Don't Work: The Science-Backed Truth About Sustainable Weight Loss for Men Over 40

  • Writer: Mark Edwards
    Mark Edwards
  • 3 days ago
  • 15 min read


TL;DR: Key Takeaways

If you only read one section, read this:

  • 95% of people regain all lost weight within 5 years of dieting

  • The phrase "going on a diet" reveals the fatal flaw: temporary approach = temporary results

  • Your metabolism slows by up to 500 calories/day during restrictive dieting

  • The diet industry profits from your failure (it's a $72 billion business model)

  • What actually works: Building sustainable eating skills, not following meal plans

  • Goal: Never needing another diet again


Reading time: 12 minutes


Why Do Diets Fail? Understanding the Cycle

As a nutrition coach specializing in sustainable weight loss for men over 40, I hear the same question constantly:


"What diet should I try?"


My answer usually surprises people: None of them.


Not because I don't understand nutrition. But because after coaching hundreds of men through their weight loss journeys, I've seen the same pattern repeat endlessly.


The pattern looks like this:

  1. Start new diet with high motivation

  2. Follow restrictive rules for 2-3 months

  3. Lose 15-25 pounds initially

  4. Hit a plateau

  5. Life gets busy/stressful

  6. "Fall off" the diet

  7. Regain all the weight (plus more)

  8. Feel like a failure

  9. Search for the next diet


Sound familiar?


Here's what I want you to understand: This isn't your failure. This is the predictable outcome of going "on" a diet.


Let me explain why, what the research shows, and what actually works instead.


The Language Problem: What "Going On a Diet" Really Means

Before diving into the science, notice how people talk about diets:


Common Diet Phrases

  • "I'm going on a diet"

  • "I'm starting keto Monday"

  • "I'm trying paleo"

  • "I fell off my diet"

  • "I need to get back on track"

  • "I'm doing Whole30"


See the pattern?


Every phrase implies temporariness:

  • A beginning and an end

  • Something separate from normal life

  • An external system you adopt then abandon


This isn't a lifestyle change. It's a temporary intervention.

And temporary interventions produce temporary results. Always.

For weight loss to be "permanent," you need to Integrate better habits and behavior into your life.


Compare to Sustainable Behaviors

Notice how different people talk about lasting habits:

  • "I am a runner"

  • "I eat mostly whole foods"

  • "I work out three times weekly"

  • "I sleep 7-8 hours nightly"


These describe identity and consistent behavior—not temporary states.

This linguistic distinction isn't just semantics. It reveals how we conceptualize behaviors, which determines whether we sustain them.


You might notice that there is an interesting connection to our "self talk."



The 4-Phase Diet Cycle That Keeps You Stuck

Here's the pattern I see with every man who comes to me after years of yo-yo dieting:



Phase 1: The Honeymoon (Weeks 1-2)

What you experience:

  • Sky-high motivation

  • Perfect adherence

  • "This time is different"

  • Rapid weight loss (5-8 pounds)

  • Feel like a champ. Crushing it every day.

  • Tell everyone about your new diet


What's actually happening:

You're burning through willpower reserves and riding the high of something new.

The initial weight loss? Primarily water weight.


Here's why: Each gram of stored carbohydrate (glycogen) holds 3-4 grams of water. When you restrict carbs or calories, your body depletes glycogen stores first, releasing all that water.


This creates the illusion of rapid fat loss.


Phase 2: The Grind (Weeks 3-8)

What you experience:

  • Motivation declining

  • Intensifying cravings

  • Social situations becoming difficult

  • Weight loss slowing to 1 lb/week

  • Constant hunger

  • Irritability

  • Obsessive food thoughts


What's actually happening:

Your body is fighting back through biological adaptation.


Research shows that within weeks of calorie restriction:

  • Leptin (satiety hormone) drops

  • Ghrelin (hunger hormone) increases

  • Metabolism downregulates

  • NEAT (non-exercise activity thermogenesis) decreases by 20-30% (meaning your body starts using less energy at rest and during daily activities)


This isn't willpower failure. It's your biology resisting starvation.

Studies on "The Biggest Loser" contestants revealed their metabolisms slowed by an average of 500 calories per day—and remained suppressed six years later.


Phase 3: The Crack (Weeks 9-12)

What you experience:

  • One "cheat meal" becomes a cheat day

  • One cheat day becomes a cheat weekend

  • "I'll start fresh Monday" (but Monday keeps getting postponed)

  • Increasing rationalizations

  • Return to old habits

  • Growing guilt


What's actually happening:

You've depleted willpower reserves.

Your body is screaming for calories.


Studies on restrained eating show: The more rigidly people restrict food, the more likely they eventually binge.

This is called the "restraint-disinhibition" effect.


Phase 4: The Aftermath (Weeks 13+)

What you experience:

  • All weight regained (often plus 5-10 pounds)

  • Intense guilt and shame

  • "I failed again"

  • Decreased self-esteem

  • Ready to try the NEXT diet in 3-6 months ("Jenny Craig" (or whatever) didn't work for me)


What's actually happening:

You've just experienced "weight cycling" or "yo-yo dieting."


The research is clear: Each cycle tends to result in:

  • Regaining more fat than you lost

  • Regaining less muscle than you lost

  • Net worse body composition

  • Slower metabolism

  • Harder to lose weight next time


This cycle isn't failure. It's the inevitable, predictable outcome of restrictive dieting.


Why Do Most Diets Fail? The Sobering Statistics

Let's examine what research actually shows about diet success rates.


The Long-Term Failure Rate

Multiple systematic reviews and meta-analyses show that 95% of people who lose weight on a diet regain it within 1-5 years.


Let's break this down further:

  • 66% regain MORE weight than they lost

  • Average maintained weight loss after 5 years: less than 5 pounds

  • Weight regain typically begins within months of ending the diet


A landmark 2007 study in American Psychologist reviewed 31 long-term diet studies and reached some sobering conclusions:


"We found that the majority of people regained all the weight, plus more. Diets do not lead to sustained weight loss or health benefits for the majority of people."

The Metabolic Problem

The famous Biggest Loser study (published in Obesity, 2016) revealed shocking findings. Within six years after the show:


  • Contestants' resting metabolisms remained suppressed by ~500 calories/day

  • Most had regained significant weight

  • They needed to eat 500 fewer daily calories than predicted to maintain weight

  • The more weight lost, the greater the metabolic slowdown


Translation: Their bodies permanently adapted to require fewer calories by down-regulating their metabolisms.

This isn't about willpower. It's biology.


The Psychological Toll

Multiple studies document the psychological effects of repeated dieting:

  • Increased rates of depression and anxiety

  • Development of disordered eating patterns

  • Reduced self-esteem and body image

  • Obsessive thoughts about food

  • Social isolation

  • "Restrained eating syndrome"


Obesity Reviews (2015) found that weight cycling was associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk, independent of body weight.

Meaning: Yo-yo dieting is harmful even if you end up at the same weight.



US dollar

How the Diet Industry Profits From Your Failure

Here's an uncomfortable truth you may not realize:

The diet industry depends on your failure.


The Business Model of Repeat Customers

Think about it from a business perspective:

If you succeed permanently:

  • You stop buying their programs

  • You stop subscribing to their app

  • You stop buying their shakes/supplements

  • You stop attending support meetings

  • You stop needing their coaching

  • You stop being a customer


If you fail and come back:

  • You buy another round

  • You try their "new and improved" program

  • You purchase their "premium" tier

  • You buy their cookbook, supplements, accessories

  • You become a lifetime customer


The Numbers Tell the Story

The commercial weight loss industry generates approximately $72 billion annually in the United States alone. That's not including newfangled lifetime drugs like Ozempic.


This revenue depends on several factors:

  • High customer acquisition (people starting diets)

  • High customer churn (people quitting diets)

  • High re-acquisition (same people trying again)


If everyone succeeded the first time, the industry would shrink by 95%.


The Marketing Machine

Notice how diet companies market:

  • "NEW breakthrough approach!"

  • "REVOLUTIONARY system!"

  • "The diet that FINALLY works!"

  • "What THEY don't want you to know!"


Every message implies previous diets failed, but THIS one is different.

Here's the truth: They're not that different.


Most diets work through the same mechanism—calorie restriction—just packaged differently:

Diet Type

How It Restricts Calories

Keto

Eliminates carbs (reduces overall calorie intake)

Low-fat

Restricts fat (reduces overall calorie intake)

Paleo

Eliminates processed foods (reduces overall calorie intake)

Restricts eating windows (reduces overall calorie intake)

Juice Cleanse

Extremely low calories


They all work short-term. They all fail long-term for the same reasons.


No parking sign

Why Diets Fail: They Don't Teach You Skills

Here's the core problem with most diets and diet programs:


You're Given Rules (Not Skills)


Diet programs give you unsustainable rules:

  • Eat these foods, not those

  • Eat at these times, not those

  • Follow this exact meal plan

  • Track these specific macros

  • Buy these supplements

  • Use their app/system


They DON'T teach you:

  • How to build balanced meals in any situation

  • How to navigate restaurants without a rulebook

  • How to eat appropriate portions intuitively

  • How to distinguish physical vs. emotional hunger

  • How to handle social situations with food

  • How to maintain weight after losing it

  • How to make sustainable choices for decades


The Dependency Model

Most diet programs create dependency, not autonomy.


They keep you dependent in ways that seem helpful:

  1. Providing meal plans (so you never learn to plan yourself)

  2. Giving strict rules (so you never learn how to flexibly plan meals)

  3. Requiring their products (so you can't function without them. Monthly subscriptions for processed "miracles" like Isagenix)

  4. Making everything complicated (so you need "expert help" forever)


Example: The Meal Plan Problem

When a coach sends you a meal plan with every meal mapped out for 12 weeks, here's what you learn:

  • How to follow directions

  • How to eat what someone tells you to eat

  • How to cook specific provided recipes


What you DON'T learn:

  • How to build your own meals

  • How to make decisions in real situations

  • How to adapt when life gets chaotic

  • How to maintain results when the plan ends


When the plan ends (or life disrupts it), you're back where you started—needing another plan.


The Empowerment Principle

A good coach makes themselves unnecessary.

They teach you principles and skills so you can make good decisions independently, indefinitely.


That's empowerment., not dependence.

That's what creates lasting change.


Man holding kettlebells

What Does Sustainable Weight Loss Actually Look Like?

Here's what I've found that actually creates lasting change:


1. Learning to Build Meals (Not Follow Meal Plans)

Instead of: "Eat exactly this meal at exactly this time"

Teach: "Here's how to build a balanced meal in ANY situation"


The Framework (The Perfect Plate Method)

  • Protein: Palm-sized portion

  • Vegetables: Two fists

  • Carbohydrates: Cupped hand

  • Healthy fats: Thumb


This works:

  • At home

  • At restaurants

  • At parties

  • On vacation

  • Business dinners

  • Anywhere, anytime


2. Developing Food Awareness (Not Food Fear)

Instead of: "Never eat sugar/carbs/processed food"

Teach: "Notice how different foods make you feel. Make informed choices based on

your goals and circumstances."


The Practice

  • Track how you feel after meals (energy, hunger, fullness)

  • Notice which foods satisfy you

  • Observe your hunger patterns

  • Understand your triggers

  • Build awareness without judgment


3. Creating Flexible Strategies (Not Rigid Rules)

Instead of: "You must eat 6 meals daily" or "Never eat after 7pm"

Teach: "Here are several strategies. Experiment to find what works for YOUR life."


The Approach

Some people thrive on:

  • Three meals daily

  • Intermittent fasting windows

  • Small frequent meals

  • Lower carb approach

  • Higher carb for activity


There's no universal "right way." Only what works for you, consistently, long-term.


4. Building Consistency (Not Perfection)

Instead of: "You must be perfect or you've failed"

Teach: "Aim for progress, not perfection. Being good most of the time beats being perfect briefly."


The 80/20 Principle

  • 80% of the time: Follow your nutrition principles

  • 20% of the time: Flexibility for life (social events, celebrations, travel)


Research shows people who practice flexible restraint maintain weight loss better than people who practice rigid restraint.


5. Developing Problem-Solving Skills

Instead of: "Here's what to do in situations X, Y, and Z"

Teach: "Here's how to think through nutrition decisions in ANY situation"


The Decision Framework

  1. Identify your goal - What are you working toward?

  2. Assess the situation - What are your options?

  3. Make the best available choice - Not perfect, just best available

  4. Learn from the outcome - What worked? What didn't?

  5. Adjust next time - Apply the learning


6. Establishing Identity-Based Change

Instead of saying "I'm on a diet"

Develop the attitude "I'm someone who eats mostly whole foods," or "I'm someone who prioritizes protein."


Research in habit formation shows identity-based changes last longer than outcome-based changes.


Outcome-based: "I want to lose 20 pounds."

Identity-based: "I'm becoming the kind of person who takes care of their health."


The first motivates temporarily. The second changes who you are.



success sign

What Real Success Looks Like (And Why It's Not Sexy)

Here's what sustainable success actually looks like—and it's not as exciting as diet ads promise:


What Success Is NOT:

  • Losing 30 pounds in 12 weeks

  • Following a meal plan perfectly

  • Never eating dessert again

  • Being "on track" every single day

  • Hitting your goal weight and stopping

  • Looking like a fitness model at 55


What Success Actually IS:

  • Losing 20-30 pounds over 6-12 months (slower, but keeping it off)

  • Knowing how to build a meal in any situation without a plan

  • Enjoying treats occasionally without guilt or bingeing

  • Being consistent most of the time, flexible some of the time

  • Maintaining your weight range for years without obsessing

  • Having food freedom, not food rules

  • Feeling confident in your choices

  • No longer needing to "go on a diet"


What is true success? It's being able to honestly say:

"I don't need a diet. I know how to eat for my goals, my life, and my health."

The Real Cost of Yo-Yo Dieting vs. Skill Development

Let's look at this from a practical, even financial perspective.


The Cost of Yo-Yo Dieting (Over 10 Years)

Direct costs:

  • 10-20 different diet attempts at $200-500 each: $2,000-$10,000

  • Weight loss supplements and products: $5,000-$15,000

  • Specialty diet foods and meal replacements: $10,000-$30,000

  • Unused gym memberships (sound familiar?): $3,000-$6,000


Indirect costs:

  • Clothes in multiple sizes: $5,000-$10,000

  • Health consequences of weight cycling: Immeasurable

  • Lost confidence and quality of life: Immeasurable

  • Time spent obsessing about food/weight: Thousands of hours


Total: $25,000-$71,000+ over 10 years


The Investment in Skill Development

Direct costs:

  • 6-12 months of coaching to learn sustainable skills: $3,000-$6,000

  • Education on nutrition principles: Minimal to free

  • Initial learning curve and experimentation: Priceless


Returns:

  • Skills that last a lifetime: Priceless

  • Never needing another diet: Saves $25,000-71,000+

  • Maintained weight loss: Improved health and longevity

  • Food freedom: Immeasurable quality of life improvement

  • Confidence in any food situation: Priceless


The ROI speaks for itself.


How to Lose Weight Without Dieting:

A Practical Framework

When men come to me after years of failed diets, here's the framework we work through:


Month 1: Awareness Building

Focus: Understand current patterns, making small, incremental changes.

Actions:

  • Track current eating patterns

  • Notice hunger and fullness signals

  • Identify eating triggers

  • Assess current habits and routines

  • Understand your relationship with food

  • Start with "low-hanging fruit."


Goal: Awareness without judgment. You can't change what you're not aware of.


Months 2-4: Basic Skills

Focus: Build foundation of practical skills

Actions:

  • Learn to build balanced meals

  • Practice portion awareness

  • Develop meal planning skills

  • Navigate grocery shopping

  • Start cooking simple, repeatable meals


Goal: Practical skills that work in real life.


Months 5-6: Problem-Solving

Focus: Navigate real-world challenges

Actions:

  • Handle restaurants and social situations

  • Manage travel and disruptions

  • Address stress eating

  • Deal with slip-ups productively

  • Adapt to changing schedules

Goal: Flexible strategies for real challenges.


Months 7-9: Refinement

Focus: Optimize for individual needs

Actions:

  • Adjust for specific goals

  • Fine-tune for individual responses

  • Optimize portion sizes

  • Improve meal timing

  • Build advanced skills

Goal: Customize the approach to your body, schedule, and preferences.


Months 10-12: Autonomy

Focus: Graduate from needing a coach

Actions:

  • Make independent decisions

  • Handle unexpected situations

  • Maintain progress without hand-holding

  • Troubleshoot your own challenges

  • Continue without coaching

Goal: Become your own best coach.


Case Study: From 15 Years of Yo-Yo Dieting to Food Freedom

Let me share a real client story that illustrates this transformation.

Meet "Steve"

  • Age: 47

  • Previous diets tried: Keto, paleo, Atkins, Zone, Weight Watchers, Nutrisystem

  • Total weight lost and regained over 15 years: 300+ pounds

  • Starting belief: "Maybe I'm just broken"


What We Did Differently

I didn't put him on a diet.


Instead, I taught him skills:

  1. How to build a meal using the plate method

  2. How to navigate restaurants without panic or detailed planning

  3. How to prep simple meals on Sunday for the week

  4. How to handle work lunches with clients

  5. How to enjoy his wife's cooking without overdoing it

  6. How to get back on track after tough weekends


The Results

After 12 months:

  • Lost 45 pounds

  • But more importantly:

    • Maintains weight without constant vigilance

    • Goes to restaurants without anxiety

    • Travels for work without derailing

    • Doesn't feel controlled by food anymore

    • Hasn't "gone on a diet" once


Three years later:

  • Maintained weight within + - 5 pounds

  • Recently told me "I finally feel free."

That's the difference between "going on a diet" and actually learning to eat.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Why do diets fail in the long term?

A: Diets fail because they're designed to be temporary interventions. The phrase "going on a diet" implies an end point. When you return to "normal" eating after the diet ends, you return to the habits that caused weight gain originally. Additionally, restrictive dieting causes metabolic slowdown, making it harder to maintain weight loss.


Q: What percentage of diets fail?

A: Approximately 95% of people who lose weight on a diet regain it within 1-5 years. Furthermore, 66% regain more weight than they originally lost. These statistics come from multiple systematic reviews published in peer-reviewed journals.


Q: How can I lose weight without dieting?

A: Focus on building sustainable eating skills rather than following a diet. Learn to build balanced meals using simple frameworks (like the plate method), develop awareness of hunger and fullness cues, practice flexible eating strategies, and build problem-solving skills for real-world situations. The goal is to develop an eating pattern you can maintain for decades, not just weeks.


Q: Why do I keep gaining weight back after losing it?

A: Weight regain after dieting occurs for several biological reasons: metabolic adaptation (your body burns fewer calories), hormonal changes (increased hunger hormones, decreased satiety hormones), loss of muscle mass during restrictive dieting, and psychological factors like the restraint-disinhibition effect. This isn't a willpower problem—it's a biological response to restriction.


Q: What is the best diet for men over 40?

A: There is no single "best" diet. The most effective approach for men over 40 is developing sustainable eating skills that work with your lifestyle, preferences, and goals. This includes adequate protein intake (especially important as you age), strength training to preserve muscle mass, and flexible eating strategies you can maintain long-term. Focus on principles, not prescriptive diets. In a nutshell, the "best" diet is the one that you can actually DO.


Q: How long does it take to develop sustainable eating habits?

A: Most people need 6-12 months of focused practice to develop truly sustainable eating habits. This timeline allows for: learning basic skills (2-4 months), navigating real-world challenges (2-3 months), refining based on individual needs (2-3 months), and developing autonomy (1-2 months). While slower than "lose 30 pounds in 30 days" promises, these skills last a lifetime.


Q: Is weight loss possible without exercise?

A: While weight loss is technically possible without exercise through calorie restriction alone, it's not optimal, especially for men over 40. Exercise, particularly strength training, helps preserve muscle mass during weight loss, prevents metabolic slowdown, improves body composition, and makes weight maintenance easier long-term. The combination of nutrition skills and regular activity produces the best sustainable results.


Q: What causes yo-yo dieting?

A: Yo-yo dieting is caused by the cycle of restrictive dieting followed by return to previous eating habits. Contributing factors include extreme calorie restriction that triggers biological resistance, elimination of entire food groups leading to cravings and eventual binges, reliance on external meal plans instead of building internal skills, and all-or-nothing thinking that turns small slip-ups into complete diet abandonment.


Your Next Step: Stop Looking for Your Next Diet

If you're reading this and recognizing yourself in the diet cycle, here's what I want you to do:

Stop looking for your next diet.


Instead, ask yourself these questions:

Self-Assessment Questions

  1. What principles do I need to learn to eat well for the rest of my life?

    • Not: "What diet should I try next?"

  2. What skills would make me feel confident in any eating situation?

    • Not: "What meal plan should I follow?"

  3. What eating pattern can I sustain for decades, not just weeks?

    • Not: "What's the fastest way to lose weight?"

  4. How can I develop food freedom instead of food rules?

    • Not: "What foods should I eliminate?"


These are the real questions.

Because the goal isn't to lose weight on a diet.

The goal is to never need a diet again.


Why Diets Don't Work: The Bottom Line - Diet Failure Is a Feature, Not a Bug

The diet industry has convinced you of several lies:

  • Your past failures were YOUR fault

  • You just need more discipline

  • You just need to find the RIGHT diet

  • You just need to try harder


Here's the untold truth:

Diets are designed to fail. They're designed to be temporary, unsustainable, and create dependency on the next program.


Your "failure" wasn't failure. It was the predictable outcome of a fundamentally flawed approach.


Real, lasting change doesn't come from going "on" anything.

It comes from developing skills, changing habits, and building a sustainable way of eating that works for your life—not just for 12 weeks, but for decades.


Stop looking for your next diet.

Start building skills that last.


Ready to Never Need a Diet Again?

If you're tired of the diet cycle and ready to develop the skills and confidence to manage your weight and health for life (not just for 12 weeks!) I'd love to talk.

My coaching program isn't a diet. It's a skill-building process that takes 6-12 months and prepares you to manage your nutrition independently for the rest of your life.


What you get:

  • No meal plans (we work together so that you learn to create your own)

  • No temporary diets (you build lasting habits)

  • Principles and skills (not rules and restrictions)

  • Independence (not dependency)


Let's discuss whether this approach is right for you.


References

  1. Mann, T., et al. (2007). "Medicare's search for effective obesity treatments: Diets are not the answer." American Psychologist, 62(3), 220-233. https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.62.3.220

  2. Fothergill, E., et al. (2016). "Persistent metabolic adaptation 6 years after 'The Biggest Loser' competition." Obesity, 24(8), 1612-1619. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.21538

  3. Montani, J.P., et al. (2015). "Dieting and weight cycling as risk factors for cardiometabolic diseases: who is really at risk?" Obesity Reviews, 16(S1), 7-18. https://doi.org/10.1111/obr.12251

  4. Bacon, L., & Aphramor, L. (2011). "Weight Science: Evaluating the Evidence for a Paradigm Shift." Nutrition Journal, 10(9). https://doi.org/10.1186/1475-2891-10-9

  5. Lowe, M.R., et al. (2013). "Dieting and restrained eating as prospective predictors of weight gain." Frontiers in Psychology, 4, 577. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2013.00577

  6. Westenhoefer, J., et al. (2013). "Cognitive and weight-related correlates of flexible and rigid restrained eating behaviour." Eating Behaviors, 14(1), 69-72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eatbeh.2012.10.015

  7. Tribole, E., & Resch, E. (2012). Intuitive Eating: A Revolutionary Program That Works (3rd ed.). St. Martin's Griffin.

  8. Schaefer, J.T., & Magnuson, A.B. (2014). "A review of interventions that promote eating by internal cues." Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics, 114(5), 734-760. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jand.2013.12.024

  9. Dulloo, A.G., et al. (2015). "How dieting makes the lean fatter: from a perspective of body composition autoregulation through adipostats and proteinstats awaiting discovery." Obesity Reviews, 16(S1), 25-35. https://doi.org/10.1111/obr.12253

  10. Fildes, A., et al. (2015). "Probability of an Obese Person Attaining Normal Body Weight: Cohort Study Using Electronic Health Records." American Journal of Public Health, 105(9), e54-e59. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2015.302773


About the Author

Mark is a Precision Nutrition certified coach who specializes in helping men over 40 develop sustainable nutrition practices that work for life, not just for 12 weeks. No meal plans. No temporary diets. Just principles, skills, and strategies that create lasting change.


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